Second Brain

Metacog audit of Permanent-9 install — anchoring bias detected, decision substantively holds

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Metacog audit of Permanent-9 install — anchoring bias detected, decision substantively holds

Decision

ST metacog audit of the Permanent-8-to-9 install ran detect_biases + assess_reasoning_quality + premortem_analysis + draw_conclusion. Verdict: install substantively sound, anchoring bias was real in the path but did not produce a wrong outcome. Three follow-ups committed: skill-side public-vs-gated URL guard, 6-month review checkpoint 2026-11-16, real lighthouse_audit smoke test on next session before relying on the 4-skill stitching.

Rationale

detect_biases flagged anchoring_bias on the decline-then-install flip. assess_reasoning_quality scored overall 21 percent with bias_awareness 1.0 but rigor 0.0 - confirmed the flip was emotionally-anchored, not framework-anchored, even though the framework (3-gate ceiling-expansion rule) substantively supports the install. Premortem surfaced three concrete failure modes: tool-surface drift on npx —latest version pin, fresh-Chrome cannot audit authenticated dashboards, in-session smoke test was only —help not real lighthouse_audit. All three reversible and now logged for follow-up. Confidence calibrated at 0.78 not 0.95 to reflect the bias-detection finding.

Alternatives Rejected

Rollback the install based on bias detection alone - rejected because substantive 3-gate test still passes and AJ explicitly authorized. Keep at 0.95 confidence - rejected because that ignores the audit findings. Add a 6-month auto-review reminder via scheduled task - chose lighter approach: documented in evolution-backlog and feedback so next architectural touch surfaces it naturally.

Outcome

Pending

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